Prescriptive Analytics

Are you ready for Prescriptive Analytics?

Business Analytics – enhancing the value of your data

While resources are becoming increasingly scarcer in many sectors, the amount of data is growing every day. Applying this data correctly, however, means that its value increases. A logical result of this is the investment in data management, especially in business analytics. Are you considering whether it is time for your business to press ahead with the use of analytics? Read on to learn more about the added value of your data by deploying prescriptive analytics.

Business Analytics – for fast and sound decisions

Structured and unstructured data from both internal and external sources form the basis for analysis technology. Data is extracted from systems such as ERP or CRM, but also from other sources such as meteorological data, and then it is analyzed. In this way, you obtain a detailed overall picture of  your company’s processes. This makes strategic planning easier and more certain. In addition, resources and individual processes can be planned better. One example here is the optimization of supply chains: where should production sites and warehouses be located or where should our suppliers be based? These are aspects which can be optimally planned on a long-term basis. The best route planning can be attained at short notice. The objective of business analysis is to extract valuable information from available data and use the results of the analysis to make better optimization decisions.

Gartner’s Analytics Maturity Model

The Gartner maturity model is used to distinguish between various analytics stages. The model clearly defines four essential analytics stages. The complexity of the analysis as well as the value of the results increases with each development stage.

Gartner

Gartner’s Analytics Maturity Model begins with descriptive analytics (“What happened?”), followed by diagnostic analytics (why did it happen?”). Predictive analytics, as the name implies,  focuses on the questions: “What will happen?”, “How can the best result be achieved?” or “Which measures should be taken?”

You can learn more about analytics in our article Prescriptive Analytics in Production Planning where you can also download our factsheet “Business Analytics by Gartner”.

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 Optimal decisions by applying prescriptive analytics

Many businesses are already forecasting by using predictive analytics. Concerning the question “what will happen?”, when deploying predictive analytics, models are built from historic data and used to predict unknown events or changes in the future. For example, market trends can be identified or disruptive changes in certain sectors can be identified at an early stage.

Prescriptive Analytics, however, goes even further. By applying various technologies (e.g. mathematical algorithms, simulation, machine learning and Artificial Intelligence) it analyzes a number of scenarios and as a result comes up with the best recommendation on what action to take. Deploying prescriptive analytics means, therefore, that you not only obtain optimized resource planning and the resulting cost savings. It also provides a strategic competitive advantage – above all to data-driven companies.

From machine scheduling to energy planning

Production planning as well as supply chain optimization are typical examples of where prescriptive analytics can be deployed. Here the right products have to be manufactured and supplied at the right time. Apart from the afore-mentioned possibilities, there are many more areas in which prescriptive analytics can be deployed: pricing, inventory management, technology management, financial planning, personnel planning…

The list can go on and on. We would like to use a specific example to highlight the vital role of prescriptive analytics in planning optimization. Energy management is currently a hot topic in view of the necessary transition to alternative energy sources.

Let’s digress…

Indispensable: Prescriptive analytics for the transition to alternative energy sources

One issue which is growing more and more in importance is “sustainable energy”. For this reason it is entirely understandable that prescriptive analytics has a huge role to play in the transition towards alternative energy sources. The increasing use of renewable energy is leading to growing complexity in energy management as well as to volatile energy flows. Whereas you “only” had to plan the logistics for coal, gas and oil in the past, today you also have to consider new sites for wind, solar and hydropower which are being built every day. Not only that, due to weather conditions or the time of year and day, renewable energy cannot always guarantee a steady supply of energy. This means that the energy generated has to be stored temporarily. Energy providers are therefore compelled to make strategic decisions more frequently in order to guarantee system stability in the future and avoid supply shortfalls (you can learn more about system stability in the power supply in our article: Optimal contingency plans in any event).

The entire energy supply chain contains a vast amount of information. Among others, meteorological and climate data as well as consumption parameters are included in energy providers’ calculations, on the basis of which sound recommendations for energy management can be made. For example, energy requirements based on consumers’ behavioral patterns can be forecast. Based on this information, the required supply of wind, solar and hydropower can be regulated precisely. Risks such as electricity shortages can be avoided and the costs resulting thereof can be reduced. Combined with international ambitious climate goals, prescriptive analytics will become an indispensable factor in the transition towards alternative energy sources.

Is prescriptive analytics right for your business?

The advantages of prescriptive analytics are evident. You can determine quite easily whether or not it is time for your business to deploy prescriptive analytics to optimize your planning. How? Well, if you answer one of the following questions with “yes”, then you should be thinking about deploying prescriptive analytics.

  • Do you often find that you cannot determine which decisions are the best ones for your company?
  • Do your decision-making systems make it diffcult or even impossible to consider constraints and changes at short notice?
  • Or is the number of variables in your planning processes so high that it is impossible to take them all into account?

In a nutshell: Are your planning processes simply too complex?
Then prescriptive analytics is the right solution to optimize your planning.

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How to achieve the best result – the 5 steps of a prescriptive analytics project with OPTANO

Although each project calls for a different procedure, an optimization project with OPTANO usually consists of the following five steps:

Step 1: Describing the project

The fundament of any optimization project is to identify the potential for improvement within your planning. What do you want to achieve with the improvement? Define the objectives of your project! This is where we can help.

Step 2: Defining business processes

Data modeling requires a detailed description of your business processes. This includes, among others, a defintion of the objectives, the variables and the constraints which need to be considered in the analysis. We help you to identify and define the business processes to be modelled.

Step 3: Building, validating and testing the model

In the next step we build the model which describes your problem. The validation is performed to ensure that the results are presented correctly. In addition, we test the model thoroughly to make sure that the optimization runs error-free.

Step 4: Preparing and incorporating the data

Structured and unstructured data from internal and external sources form the basis of any optimization. This means that all the data which has an influence on decision-making processes will be included in the analysis. Your data will be checked and, if necessary, prepared for plausibility and entered into the database. The same applies to your objectives because only then can you be sure that you will have the optimal plan to meet your business objectives.

Step 5: Implementing mathematical optimization

As soon as the prescriptive analytics model has been built, it can be used for data-driven optimization. Depending on your objectives the target plan will be calculated in different optimization scenarios. You will then obtain guidelines and the possibility to automate your decision-making.

Expertise and iteration for best results

The entire process is very iterative and calls for good collaboration and communication between analysts and experts from the specialized departments. OPTANO provides first-rate expertise in all areas throughout the entire process: from identifying the required data to building and validating the optimization model right down to implementation.

OPTANO Predictive Blueprint: Prediction meets planning

Machine learning for an optimal data basis

Good data is the optimal basis for prescriptive analytics results. OPTANO’s Predictive Blueprint – as a machine learning feature – enables predictions to be trained and regression analyses to be conducted without any prior knowledge of programming.

Predictive results flow into a prescriptive model

With OPTANO we can refer directly to the results of our predictive analytics in the prescriptive analytics field, i.e. the implementation of optimization models to get the best decisions. In this way optimal planning is based on the best possible future prediction, making use of insights from the past.

In other words: With the OPTANO Predictive Blueprint we can learn from the past and extrapolate the future.

Are you interested in the OPTANO Predictive Blueprint?
Learn more about it here

Predictive Blueprint

To sum up…

In times of increasing competitive pressure companies have to take advantage of the progress in analytics – in particular prescriptive analytics –  and thus benefit from sound recommendations within proactive decision-making. Analytics as such will develop continuously. However it needs the support of machine learning and artificial intelligence. These different technologies have a positive influence on one another and drive forward the digitialization of businesses.

Is prescriptive analytics as a form of mathematical optimization right for your business? Find the answers in our factsheet.

In our factsheet What are the benefits of mathematical optimization? we ask five questions which can help you to judge whether mathematical optimization can be of advantage to your company.

All you need to do is enter your name and e-mail address in the space below. You will then receive an e-mail with a link to the download. Please note that by providing us with your e-mail address you agree that we may contact you on this topic. You may revoke this agreement at any time by contacting privacy@optano.com

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